Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Dec 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 3
Ajax

Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord
Wednesday, September 27 at 1pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Ajax

Ajax would normally be expected to win this fixture, but they have made a very poor start to the season, collecting just two points from their opening three away games. Given that Waalwijk have won their last two games on the bounce, they should head into Saturday's game in high spirits, and we think they might be able to pick up a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Ajax
11.69% ( -0.42)	15.9% ( -0.22)	72.41% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 56.94% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.71% (

-0.08)

31.29% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.27% (

-0.09)

52.73% (

0.09)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

-0.71)

38.42% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.82% (

-0.69)

75.18% (

0.69)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.47% (

0.11)

7.53% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.01% (

0.28)

26.99% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 11.69%

Ajax 72.41%

Draw 15.9%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.69%	1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.9%	0-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 8.34% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 5.4% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 72.41%