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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
11.69% ( -0.42) | 15.9% ( -0.22) | 72.41% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.71% ( -0.08) | 31.29% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.27% ( -0.09) | 52.73% ( 0.09) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.58% ( -0.71) | 38.42% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.82% ( -0.69) | 75.18% ( 0.69) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.47% ( 0.11) | 7.53% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.01% ( 0.28) | 26.99% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.69% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.9% | 0-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 8.34% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 5.4% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 72.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |