MX23RW : Monday, November 25 19:17:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Dec 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 3
Ajax

Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord
Wednesday, September 27 at 1pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Ajax

Ajax would normally be expected to win this fixture, but they have made a very poor start to the season, collecting just two points from their opening three away games. Given that Waalwijk have won their last two games on the bounce, they should head into Saturday's game in high spirits, and we think they might be able to pick up a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
11.69% (-0.415 -0.42) 15.9% (-0.216 -0.22) 72.41% (0.634 0.63)
Both teams to score 56.94% (-0.59 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.71% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.29% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)52.73% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)38.42% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.688 -0.69)75.18% (0.69200000000001 0.69)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.47% (0.113 0.11)7.53% (-0.1079 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.01% (0.283 0.28)26.99% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 11.69%
    Ajax 72.41%
    Draw 15.9%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 2.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 11.69%
1-1 @ 7.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.9%
0-2 @ 9.68% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.34% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
0-4 @ 5.4% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 5.16% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-5 @ 2.79% (0.088 0.09)
1-5 @ 2.67% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.2% (0.044 0.04)
1-6 @ 1.15% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 72.41%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Ajax
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 29
RKC Waalwijk
0-1
Ajax
Haller (14')
Alvarez (40'), Martinez (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2FC UtrechtUtrecht12101122121031
3Ajax1292127111629
4Feyenoord1384131131828
5FC Twente1374226121425
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1362525151020
7Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen135172012816
10Willem II134451514116
11NAC BredaNAC Breda135171423-916
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle133371424-1012
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta132561320-711
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!