Alaves0 - 1Barcelona
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We said: Alaves 1-2 Barcelona
This is a huge game for Barcelona, and there is no downplaying the importance of the contest for the Catalan outfit, who desperately need a win to boost their confidence. Alaves could make it a very tricky affair, but we are expecting the away side to emerge victorious due to their superior quality. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
| 16.83% | 22.05% | 61.12% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% | 48.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% | 70.6% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.87% | 42.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.46% | 78.55% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% | 15.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.84% | 44.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% 2-1 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.83% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 12.12% 0-2 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-4 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.24% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.22% Total : 61.11% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Barcelona
