La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

Iberostar Stadium

Mallorca
0 - 1
Barcelona

Costa (83'), Prats (89'), Rodriguez (90+4'), Maffeo (90+5'), Valjent (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Jong (44')
Jutlga Blanc (79'), Lenglet (90+4')

The Match

We said: Mallorca 0-1 Barcelona

Barcelona will be missing a number of important players this weekend, but Mallorca will also be far from full strength, which makes it a fascinating contest; we are expecting it to be an incredibly close match but are backing the visitors to put an important three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Barcelona
21.39%	25.09%	53.52%

Both teams to score 47.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.65%

54.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.27%

75.73%

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.6%

40.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.99%

77.01%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.34%

52.66%

Score Analysis

Mallorca 21.39%

Barcelona 53.51%

Draw 25.09%

Mallorca	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.39%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 13.07% 0-2 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.51%