La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Almeria3 - 3Granada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 5-1 Almeria
Tuesday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Tuesday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Granada
This is a really important match, even at this stage of the season, as a poor result for either could cause major confidence issues. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away win here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Granada |
41.7% ( 1.37) | 26.3% ( -0.13) | 32% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% ( 0.25) | 52.16% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.13% ( 0.21) | 73.87% ( -0.21) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0.83) | 24.73% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.72% ( 1.14) | 59.28% ( -1.13) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( -0.69) | 30.42% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.38% ( -0.83) | 66.62% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
Almeria 41.69%
Granada 32%
Draw 26.29%
| Almeria | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32% |
How you voted: Almeria vs Granada
Almeria
50.0%Draw
37.5%Granada
12.5%40
