Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Almeria |
51.13% ( -0.08) | 22.54% ( -0.1) | 26.33% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 61.37% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.29% ( 0.62) | 38.71% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.99% ( 0.65) | 61.01% ( -0.65) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.67% ( 0.2) | 15.33% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.93% ( 0.37) | 44.07% ( -0.37) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( 0.46) | 27.52% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% ( 0.59) | 63.03% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Almeria |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.9% Total : 51.13% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 26.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |