MX23RW : Friday, November 22 02:18:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Almeria

Villarreal
2 - 1
Almeria

Moreno (45+5'), Sorloth (90+4')
Capoue (26'), Pino (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akieme (44')
Embarba (53'), Chumi (84'), Puigmal (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 3-1 Villarreal
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Celta Vigo
Friday, September 1 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria

There are likely to be a lot of nerves in the Villarreal camp heading into this match, but it is a kind fixture for the Yellow Submarine against a side below them in the table. We are expecting this game to be tight in terms of the scoreline but are backing Villarreal to navigate their way to an important win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
51.13% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 22.54% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 26.33% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 61.37% (0.529 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (0.621 0.62)38.71% (-0.619 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.99% (0.65199999999999 0.65)61.01% (-0.65 -0.65)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.67% (0.19800000000001 0.2)15.33% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (0.368 0.37)44.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.45699999999999 0.46)27.52% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.586 0.59)63.03% (-0.583 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 51.13%
    Almeria 26.33%
    Draw 22.53%
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.33%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Almeria

Villarreal
89.5%
Draw
7.0%
Almeria
3.5%
57
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Melero (31')
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 32
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
Mar 15, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-0
Villarreal
Dos Santos (32'), Angel Corona (34'), Velez (64'), Verza (78')
Dos Santos (40')
Rukavina (15'), Antonio Dorado (23'), Costa (37'), Moreno (54'), Pina (85')
Costa (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!