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Las Palmas
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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Celta Vigo logo

Almeria
2 - 3
Celta Vigo

Akieme (54'), Arribas (68')
Pubill (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nunez (24'), Strand Larsen (33'), Swedberg (87')
Sanchez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Almeria
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 2-2 Celta Vigo

Both of these two sides would have earmarked this match as the ideal chance to put three points on the board, but we are finding it difficult to separate them. We are expecting some goals on Friday, with the points ultimately being shared at Power Horse Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
34.77% (0.396 0.4) 26.88% (0.198 0.2) 38.35% (-0.594 -0.59)
Both teams to score 51.18% (-0.568 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.01% (-0.747 -0.75)53.98% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.57% (-0.629 -0.63)75.42% (0.628 0.63)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.116 -0.12)29.52% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.142 -0.14)65.54% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.684 -0.68)27.38% (0.684 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.897 -0.9)62.84% (0.896 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 34.77%
    Celta Vigo 38.34%
    Draw 26.88%
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.253 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.45% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.34%

How you voted: Almeria vs Celta Vigo

Almeria
17.0%
Draw
38.3%
Celta Vigo
44.7%
47
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
2-2
Almeria
Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Almeria
3-1
Celta Vigo
Lazaro (52'), De la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Veiga (25')
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Round Four
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Round Four
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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