Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
28.01% ( 0.53) | 26.93% ( 0.15) | 45.05% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.77% ( -0.25) | 56.23% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.72% ( -0.21) | 77.27% ( 0.21) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% ( 0.29) | 35.46% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% ( 0.3) | 72.23% ( -0.3) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( -0.44) | 24.86% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( -0.62) | 59.46% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |