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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Atletico

Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.21%26.62%50.18%
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81%58.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69%23.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.26%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 23.21%
    Atletico Madrid 50.17%
    Draw 26.61%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.21%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-3 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
19.5%
Draw
18.7%
Atletico Madrid
61.8%
123
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
Jun 14, 2020 1pm
Oct 26, 2019 8pm
Mar 16, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Williams (73'), Kodro (85')
Garcia (37'), San Jose (77'), Alvarez (82')

Rodrigo (45')
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Partey (61'), Rodri (80'), Godin (90')
Costa (38'), Kalinic (66'), Vitolo (66'), Adan (66'), Correa (90')
Williams (36', 64')
Etxebarria (49'), San Jose (82'), de Marcos (86'), Martinez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia1826101728-1112
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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