Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
56.03% | 25.49% | 18.47% |
Both teams to score 42.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.05% | 58.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.57% | 79.43% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.68% | 46.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.04% | 81.96% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.2% 2-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 4.72% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |