Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
70.45% | 19.15% | 10.4% |
Both teams to score 40.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% | 50.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% | 72.07% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.98% | 13.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.44% | 39.56% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.81% | 53.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.23% | 86.77% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 14.39% 1-0 @ 14.11% 3-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 4.99% 4-1 @ 3.15% 5-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 70.44% | 1-1 @ 8.91% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.37% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |