La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
0 - 4
Athletic Bilbao

Espino (16'), Alejo (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

Last Six:

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, August 20 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Getafe	3	-5	1
19	Real Valladolid	3	-7	1
20	Cadiz	2	-3	0

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Mallorca	3	1	4
8	Athletic Bilbao	2	1	4
9	Almeria	3	0	4

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

With both teams having struggled to score goals during the opening two matches, we cannot see this being the most entertaining of matches. Nevertheless, Athletic have enough quality to take control, potentially scoring a first-half strike and holding firm after the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
31.12% ( 1.28)	29% ( -0.63)	39.88% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 44.2% (

2.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.66% (

2.32)

62.33% (

-2.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.01% (

1.66)

81.98% (

-1.66)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

2.27)

36.36% (

-2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85% (

2.22)

73.14% (

-2.22)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

0.79)

30.54% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

0.93)

66.77% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 31.11%

Athletic Bilbao 39.87%

Draw 28.99%

Cadiz	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.92% Total : 31.11%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.1% ( -1) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.99%	0-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.87) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 39.87%