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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Valencia logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Valencia

Berenguer (42')
Vivian (12'), Muniain (68'), Simon (79'), Berchiche (86'), Alvarez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Musah (23'), Diakhaby (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Valencia

While Athletic will fancy their chances of getting back on track at the weekend, we cannot dismiss Valencia who feel rejuvenated under Gattuso. With that in mind, the visitors could edge this contest by the odd goal in three, keeping the momentum at the Mestalla going for another week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
58.18% (0.096000000000004 0.1) 25.13% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 16.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06% (0.097000000000001 0.1)59.94% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81% (0.074000000000002 0.07)80.19% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.076999999999998 0.08)20.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (0.121 0.12)53.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)49.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)84.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 58.16%
    Valencia 16.69%
    Draw 25.13%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 16.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia

Athletic Bilbao
35.0%
Draw
25.0%
Valencia
40.0%
20
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Valencia

Alvarez (8'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (90'), Simon (90+9')

Diakhaby (26'), Moriba (53'), Guillamon (72')
Guillamon (90+8')
Mar 2, 2022 8.30pm
Feb 10, 2022 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valencia
Garcia (37')
Garcia (63')
Duro (65')
Foulquier (43'), Diakhaby (80'), Duro (90')
Gomez (45+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Maranhao (90+5')
Gomez (45+4'), Guillamon (47'), Jason (90+2'), Vallejo (90+8')
Gomez (82')
Martinez (69')
Garcia (49'), Berenguer (78')
Feb 7, 2021 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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