Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Osasuna |
53.72% ( -0.02) | 24.99% ( -0.01) | 21.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.91% ( 0.07) | 54.1% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.48% ( 0.06) | 75.52% ( -0.06) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% ( 0.02) | 20.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.63% ( 0.03) | 52.37% ( -0.03) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.64% ( 0.07) | 40.36% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.02% ( 0.06) | 76.98% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.71% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |