Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Osasuna |
53.72% ( -0.02) | 24.99% ( -0.01) | 21.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.91% ( 0.07) | 54.1% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.48% ( 0.06) | 75.52% ( -0.06) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% ( 0.02) | 20.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.63% ( 0.03) | 52.37% ( -0.03) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.64% ( 0.07) | 40.36% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.02% ( 0.06) | 76.98% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.71% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
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