Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
49.51% | 27.17% | 23.33% |
Both teams to score 44.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.05% | 59.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.8% | 80.2% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% | 24.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% | 58.8% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.34% | 41.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.86% | 78.14% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 82 | 28 | 54 | 66 |
2 | Real Madrid | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 62 | 29 | 33 | 63 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 57 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Villarreal | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 47 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 47 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 40 |
8 | Celta Vigo | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Mallorca | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Getafe | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 36 |
12 | Sevilla | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
13 | GironaGirona | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 |
14 | Osasuna | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Valencia | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 31 |
16 | Espanyol | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 27 |
18 | Leganes | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 27 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 26 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 65 | -46 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |