Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
29% | 27.2% | 43.8% |
Both teams to score 48.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% | 56.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% | 77.7% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% | 34.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% | 71.71% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% | 25.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.34% | 60.66% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.13% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |