Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
61.23% ( -0.18) | 22.44% ( -0.05) | 16.32% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 46.78% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.14% ( 0.61) | 50.86% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.26% ( 0.53) | 72.74% ( -0.53) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.85% ( 0.15) | 16.15% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.4% ( 0.27) | 45.6% ( -0.27) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% ( 0.68) | 44.2% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.71% ( 0.55) | 80.29% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 61.22% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.43% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |