Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
61.34% | 21.55% | 17.12% |
Both teams to score 51.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.14% | 45.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.82% | 68.18% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% | 14.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.61% | 42.4% |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.78% | 40.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.15% | 76.86% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 6.39% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 61.33% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 5.29% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |