Villarreal

2 - 2

Atletico

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.