Derry

2 - 1

Drogheda

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.63%) and 3-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.