League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Derry1 - 2Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
| 31.83% | 27.01% | 41.17% |
| Both teams to score 50.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.97% | 55.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.71% | 76.29% |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% | 31.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.55% | 68.45% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.56% | 61.44% |
| Score Analysis |
Derry City 31.83%
Dundalk 41.16%
Draw 27%
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.16% |
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Derry
P-P
Dundalk
May 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Dundalk
P-P
Derry
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
