Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match.