League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk2 - 1Derry
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
| 49.14% | 25.68% | 25.17% |
| Both teams to score 49.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% | 74.82% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.15% | 54.85% |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% | 36.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.99% | 73.01% |
| Score Analysis |
Dundalk 49.14%
Derry City 25.17%
Draw 25.68%
| Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9.17% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.17% |
How you voted: Dundalk vs Derry
Dundalk
37.5%Draw
15.0%Derry City
47.5%40
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Derry
P-P
Dundalk
May 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Dundalk
P-P
Derry
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
