Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.