Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.