League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 13

May 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Richmond Park

St Patrick's
1 - 0
Drogheda

Keating (45')
Keeley (15'), (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pierrot (21'), Brennan (48')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Drogheda United.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Drogheda United

All competitions

Last Game: Shamrock 4-0 Drogheda
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.

Result
St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Drogheda United
60.55% ( -0.99)	23.79% ( 0.49)	15.66% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 41.76% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.11% (

-0.96)

56.89% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

-0.78)

77.81% (

0.78)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.44% (

-0.71)

18.56% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.18% (

-1.22)

49.82% (

1.22)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.28% (

0.11)

48.72% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.24% (

0.08)

83.75% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 60.55%

Drogheda United 15.66%

Draw 23.79%

St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Drogheda United
1-0 @ 15.23% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.55%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.79%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.66%