League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15

May 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Richmond Park

St Patrick's
3 - 0
Drogheda

McClelland (82'), Forrester (90', 90+2')
Grivosti (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McNally (30'), Heeney (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Drogheda United.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Cork City 2-3 St Patrick's
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Drogheda United

All competitions

Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Drogheda United
61.26% ( 0.08)	22.19% ( -0.01)	16.54% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 47.95% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.47% (

-0.08)

49.52% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.44% (

-0.07)

71.55% (

0.06)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31% (

15.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.25% (

0.01)

44.75% (

-0.01)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.88% (

-0.14)

43.12% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.61% (

-0.12)

79.39% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 61.25%

Drogheda United 16.54%

Draw 22.19%

St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Drogheda United
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 61.25%	1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.54%