We said: Waterford United 2-1 Bohemians
We expect Friday's contest to be a closely-fought affair between two teams separated by just one point after 17 league matches.
However, the hosts have momentum on their side following a run of four wins in five matches, and we think that extra confidence could give them the edge over Bohemians.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Waterford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Waterford United.