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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Burton Albion |
32.54% | 26.64% | 40.82% |
Both teams to score 51.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% | 53.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% | 74.95% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% | 30.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% | 66.94% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% | 25.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% | 60.69% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |