Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.