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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Stevenage

Barnsley
0 - 1
Stevenage


McCarthy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kemp (90+2')
Phillips (56'), Goode (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Barnsley
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage

Despite the visitors' midweek victory and the hosts' setback last weekend, Barnsley should have the quality to get over the line at Oakwell and make a swift return to winning ways in their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
41.06% (0.435 0.43) 28.02% (0.305 0.31) 30.93% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-1.118 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.98% (-1.285 -1.29)59.02% (1.292 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (-1.005 -1.01)79.49% (1.011 1.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.37 -0.37)28.25% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.474 -0.47)63.96% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-1.21 -1.21)34.72% (1.217 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-1.302 -1.3)71.45% (1.31 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 41.05%
    Stevenage 30.92%
    Draw 28.01%
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Stevenage

Barnsley
Draw
Stevenage
Barnsley
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stevenage
3-0
Barnsley
List (54', 90'), Piergianni (59')
White (61'), Phillips (78'), Freestone (82'), Thompson (86')

Durand de Gevigney (64'), O'Keeffe (79')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Stevenage
2-1
Barnsley
Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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