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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barnsley

Stevenage
2 - 1
Barnsley

Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Barnsley

The two sides have enjoyed similar first halves to the League One season, and while Barnsley boast more quality, the hosts have continuously punched above their weight this term and should at least be able to take a share of the spoils on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarnsley
37.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 26.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.032 0.03)74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.25%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 37.07%
    Barnsley 36.43%
    Draw 26.5%
StevenageDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.07%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barnsley

Stevenage
36.4%
Draw
29.5%
Barnsley
34.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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