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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barnsley

Stevenage
2 - 1
Barnsley

Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Barnsley

The two sides have enjoyed similar first halves to the League One season, and while Barnsley boast more quality, the hosts have continuously punched above their weight this term and should at least be able to take a share of the spoils on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarnsley
37.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 26.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.032 0.03)74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.25%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 37.07%
    Barnsley 36.43%
    Draw 26.5%
StevenageDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.07%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barnsley

Stevenage
Draw
Barnsley
Stevenage
36.4%
Draw
29.5%
Barnsley
34.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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