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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Barnsley |
37.07% ( 0.04) | 26.5% ( -0.01) | 36.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% ( 0.04) | 52.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% ( 0.03) | 74% ( -0.03) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( 0.04) | 27.32% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.23% ( 0.05) | 62.77% ( -0.05) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% | 27.69% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.75% | 63.25% |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |