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League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Stevenage

Lincoln
0 - 0
Stevenage


Montsma (10'), Darikwa (54')
FT

Kemp (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Rotherham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Stevenage
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Stevenage

With Lincoln having lost their last three fixtures, Stevenage will fancy themselves to earn something from this game. Given that the visitors have also struggled for wins of late, a low-scoring draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
40.12% (0.772 0.77) 29.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 30.86% (-0.683 -0.68)
Both teams to score 44.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.56% (0.143 0.14)62.43% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94% (0.103 0.1)82.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.52800000000001 0.53)30.46% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (0.624 0.62)66.66% (-0.628 -0.63)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (-0.434 -0.43)36.6% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (-0.438 -0.44)73.39% (0.434 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.11%
    Stevenage 30.86%
    Draw 29.01%
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.86%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Stevenage

Lincoln City
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln

Smith (48'), Aboh (84'), Piergianni (90+11')
Moylan (71' pen.)
House (32'), Erhahon (44'), O'Connor (66'), Draper (90')
O'Connor (90+10')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Lincoln
0-0
Stevenage
House (33'), Erhahon (36')
Reid (27'), Evans (28'), Vancooten (75'), Freeman (90+5')
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stevenage
1-0
Lincoln
Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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