Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.