Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
