Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.