Cambridge1 - 2Leyton Orient
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
for
We said: Cambridge United 1-3 Leyton Orient
Fighting fire with fire has been the way forward for Leyton Orient, unsurprising given the talent of Donley and Kelman - the division's top scorer - in the final third. Wellens's men have our vote to continue on that path against Cambridge, who for all of their dogged displays in recent weeks are highly vulnerable at home, but they will live to fight another day if Birmingham can take care of business against Burton and 21st-placed Bristol Rovers fail to beat Stevenage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
25.34% ( -0.16) | 24.88% ( -0.02) | 49.77% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( -0.06) | 49.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( -0.06) | 71.94% ( 0.05) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( -0.17) | 34.27% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.02% ( -0.18) | 70.97% ( 0.18) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 0.04) | 20.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.67% ( 0.07) | 52.32% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.34% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.77% |
