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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
32.6% | 27.04% | 40.36% |
Both teams to score 50.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% | 54.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% | 76.25% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% | 31.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% | 67.81% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% | 26.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38% | 61.99% |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |