Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.