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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kassam Stadium
Bolton logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 3
Bolton

Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
FT(HT: 2-2)
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Oxford have been the stronger side over the course of the season, the visitors find themselves in a formidable run of form, and we fancy them to extend their unbeaten streak with another hard-fought win. Saturday certainly presents a particularly tricky test for Evatt's men, but, with sky-high confidence and the need to continue earning results to keep their playoff hopes alive, they will be difficult to stop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
54.97%23.34%21.68%
Both teams to score 53.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92%47.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68%69.32%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01%16.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89%47.12%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01%35.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23%72.77%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 54.97%
    Bolton Wanderers 21.68%
    Draw 23.33%
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.61%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.97%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bolton

Oxford United
55.6%
Draw
5.6%
Bolton Wanderers
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')
Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')
May 3, 2020 12pm
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 9
Bolton
0-0
Oxford Utd
Hobbs (55'), Politic (64')
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Bolton
Hemmings (42'), Maguire (75')
McAleny (77')
Morais (4'), Beevers (21'), Dunkley (60' og.), Vela (94')
Beevers (89')
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
Bolton
0-2
Oxford Utd

Beevers (35'), Trotter (59'), Vela (79')
Thomas (81'), Maguire (90')
Lundstram (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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