Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.