Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
