Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.