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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
43.81% | 27.11% | 29.07% |
Both teams to score 48.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.6% | 56.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.59% | 77.41% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% | 25.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% | 60.42% |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.28% | 34.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.56% | 71.44% |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |