Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Rotherham United | 46 | 37 | 90 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 46 | 34 | 89 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 28 | 85 |
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sunderland | 46 | 26 | 84 |
| 6 | Wycombe Wanderers | 46 | 24 | 83 |
| 7 | Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 20 | 80 |
We said: MK Dons 2-1 Wycombe (Wycombe to win 3-2 on aggregate)
Such is the length of Wycombe's unbeaten streak that it is difficult to back against the visitors qualifying for the final. While we feel that an MK Dons onslaught may lead to them winning on the night, Wycombe should still do enough to book their place at Wembley. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 40.84% | 26.11% | 33.05% |
| Both teams to score 53.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% | 51.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% | 24.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.75% | 59.25% |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% | 29.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.84% | 65.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.83% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.05% |
