Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.