Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
