Portsmouth

2 - 1

Rochdale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.