While Shrewsbury picked up a dominant 3-0 win in the reverse fixture, we see this being a far tighter affair, with two sides desperate to climb away from the bottom end of the division.
On this occasion, we cannot quite split the teams who are both looking to end brief winless runs, with their efforts likely to cancel one another out in a tense battle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
