We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Shrewsbury Town
With two teams relatively high on confidence, we would not be surprised to see either take all three points but ultimately see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome.
While Crewe have struggled to build consistency on the back of their crucial recent wins, they certainly look revitalised and will be desperate to earn a result on home turf.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
