Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.